it's official. We're going to war.
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24Probably as anticlimactic, disappointing, and inconclusive as the India/Pakistan war of last year.
They may be some other as yet unknown gay op in the works like the pager attack in Lebanon.
Still, they're becoming increasingly irrational by the day, so who knows?
But as I mentioned, they will turn into a pariah state who shot first and disproportionately, why wouldn't they do it to Turkey for example?
They hate everyone - including themselves.
Chinese Professor Guy said this was likely. In a US/IL v. IR struggle, Russia declares that nuclear war is forbidden - positioning themselves on moral high ground while ensuring US/IL will be bogged down in miserable mountain fighting which weakens the US and gives them an opening to step up on the stage.
Russia is one of those pure geopolitical actors that has literally no alliances, and they just play the game to win it.
Israel doesn't want to fight Iran in Iran, they want the US to do that, because if Iran is taken out of the picture, there's nobody with the military might to resist the emergence of Greater Israel.
Iran wants to unify the Muslim world, overthrow the kings, and establish a religious caliphate across the whole middle east. BUT, Iran has spent so long preparing for an apocalyptic war against the US that they've kind of psyched themselves up for it.
Saudi (royals) wants to survive, and Iran is a HUGE PROBLEM for them because Iran does not believe in kings. So they'll pretend to side with Iran while secretly supporting Israel.
The US wants a war to distract from their collapsing empire.
Russia wants the US tied up in the mid east so they can conquer the former USSR and unify the Orthodox world.
So - unfortunately, everybody wants the same thing so it's quite likely that it will actually happen.
1. They got really lucky in Iraq, and they have developed this new doctrine that "shock and awe" is all you need, and the oppressed people will rise up and take your side.
2. They kind of don't care because it's like Wag The Dog, start a war just to distract from issues going on at home, which are far more (personally) embarrassing.
Never forget: Serious western analysts were saying that Russia was going to collapse within 6 months (of the UA invasion). Smelling your own farts (propaganda) is a huge problem for these people.
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10NATO needs to disappear into the history books.
Humanity will be better off because of it.
The biggest problem with the US Empire is that countries didn't really need to worry about war, and they could borrow more or less infinitely from USD debt markets. So this removed the survival imperative of being efficient. As a result, countries started inventing weird stupid ideologies and basically self-destructing.
When countries have to concern themselves with potentially being invaded, and sovereign debt markets are no longer "infinite", we will start to see leaders acting like leaders again.
The problem is that "idle hands do the devil's work", in the sense that people who are granted a life of leisure inevitably turn their attention to "changing the world", which almost always means destroying the systems upon which their leisure depends.
From the wealthiest philanthropist accelerating population collapse, to the poorest college student sitting in the road for "the climate", those who do not need to get up in the morning in order to survive always turn their attention to killing the golden goose.