Hmm...
I think those odds are pretty accurate.
I think those odds are pretty accurate.
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Problem with those long tail events is you have to put your money in the contract and wait for ages to get it back. And I don't think it's 100%, maybe 75%, but 75 for 50 with a year long wait is still not a great deal...
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2@cjd
My idea was to make a Nothing Ever Happens ETF and then diversify among all of these events with shorter time horizons, but 3-10% return every few months
This one is not too bad, I think >100 by end March is better than 21%, maybe like 50%