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Chinese Professor Guy said this was likely. In a US/IL v. IR struggle, Russia declares that nuclear war is forbidden - positioning themselves on moral high ground while ensuring US/IL will be bogged down in miserable mountain fighting which weakens the US and gives them an opening to step up on the stage.

US already has/had a hegemony. They own Israel (51st state), they're super tight with the Saudis, they have bases all over the place.

Russia is banking on a collapse of the American Empire, and their long term goal (IMO) is to re-unite the Orthodox world and bring back Constantinople.

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