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4
"An attack on Kharg Island, however, would provide the media impact Trump is looking for. There would be no threat of FPV drone strikes from the mainland due to the distance, and the island itself is small (21 sq km) with a relatively limited Iranian military presence. "
HOLLY FUCK Does the us actually believe that? The shortest range iranian fpv drone has a range of 40-50kms. It can be launched from the iranian shore and reach every part of the island.
they are certainly partially possible of doing it yes. But if they do that everyone will decide they were the lunatic that needed to be dealt with.

These are not the same games that the US was playing 15 years ago, and I fear that people are still assuming that.

The USG has already shown a willingness to both shoulder a short-term economic pain and also allow the infliction of pain on the rest of the world.

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"The world" has no military capacity to threaten Iran with. What Europe and Asia will do is cut deals with Russia for hydrocarbons instead

The Anglosphere is going to have far bigger problems.

Nothing about the Persians' behavior thus far indicates that they are bluffing