Egregoros

so uh, how are they doing that? they're just sending ships full of men and materiel to the island? and we're letting them?

why isn't there an F/A-18 overhead 24/7 ready to drop a 2000 pound bomb through the deck of any suspicious ship approaching the island? we have air dominance, right?

Pretty sure even the Pentagon isnt dumb enough to telegraph this so far in advance.

@DC5FAN I doubt the intention is to take kharg island but if you're setting up a feint it should look real

my guess is they're going to try to seize the port of chabahar

That isn't going to be a whole lot easier to do than seizing Kharg Island, just less overtly suicidal, and they'd have to go for a major port area to be able to offload supplies.

@wgiwf @DC5FAN there are no good options but being on an island with no cover is one of the worse ones

I have no doubt the US could achieve a landing somewhere, even if contested and taking serious causalities. My question is how the US plans to hold any landing once achieved.

Amphibious landing that immediately results in urban combat

Unless you can encircle the city. They did that a lot in Iraq.

The Iraqi army was surrendering en-masse to advancing US forces. Nothing about the situation is comparable.

Iraqi army didn't build its own shit as well.

Was made up of gibs from the Soviets and Uncle Sam during the Iran Iraq War.

Iran is a near peer. They haven't faced actual combat yet. Lobbing a bunch of missiles isn't actual war. Maybe they are so focused on rockets that their actual Army is like Pakistans. I know literally nothing about their capabilities. I'm pretty sure we'd fuck up Pakistan or Indian troops. Iran hasnt had a war in 45 years. They have no troops with combat experience.

@DC5FAN @BobsonDugnuttHB @deprecated_ii @leespringfield1903 @wgiwf this is an actually good point. The infantry thing might be interesting. Granted in Russia they didn't seem to be a decisive factor with an the vehicles and drones etc going on

Drones are definitely a huge factor. Im sure they have a plan to deal with them. No idea what that is.

@DC5FAN @BobsonDugnuttHB @deprecated_ii @leespringfield1903 @wgiwf when's the last time US had a real ground engagement I didn't think our guys were really involved in Ukraine. Iraq was 20 years ago

True. But we have a professional military. There is some semblance of discipline in the ranks. I have no idea if Iran has a professional army. Maybe they have been investing everything into these rockets at the expense of the army. They didn't really have much of an air force or navy apparently.