Egregoros

keep coming back to this take
"Software is the worst performing sector this year so far"

A lot of SaaS companies 5x ed (or more) their revenue yet their stock fell or stalled. This is all because of AI. That's the word on the street. CEOs all say this. And the AI haters revel in it when they land on their face after putting it into practice: Salesforce rehiring people it fired because of AI, Microsoft completely annihilating what was left of Windows, et cetera

It follows then, that if you think AI is not the golden goose everyone promises it is, then it can actually NOT replace all the SaaS software. Or if it can replace SaaS programmers, it can at best replace them at SaaS companies that still have technical people maintaining the product.

So if you are anti-AI and you are not buying SaaS stock, you're just a liar.

RT: https://poa.st/objects/c993830f-b600-4227-a513-8d5c1064d229

@sickburnbro Exactly.
Even I, who is probably more pro-AI than most of fedi, think it's kind of obviously overhyped when they present what they did with AI.
Like
1 they're always kinda lying. They have some bloomberg programmers whip up a mockup of a SaaS clone, but then present it as if the lady holding the microphone did it in half an hour
and
2 everyone knows how hard it is to get AI to make the precise changes you request. Less so with text, but I keep thinking of companies like Adobe. Have these people EVER tried giving image AI precise instructions?

>"A pirate and a monkey standing on a sailing boat.Make the monkey hold a red ball and the guy hold a blue one. The monkey wears a fez and sneakers, the pirate wears a speedo and has a gold chain on his neck.The pirate has one foot up on a treasure chest, the monkey is swinging from the ropes of the main sail"
Try something like this with a SOTA model like Groks, you'll see it overfits while at the same time missing some of the instructions. This isn't a very long prompt.
It's way easier to fix this with hands-on techniques like inpainting than with the "new hotness" of typing the changes as a text prompt. That's a total pain in the ass and almost never works.

now imagine trying to actually bang out a website design with this.
"No. The LOGIN button should be the rounded one!"

@DrRyanSkelton @sickburnbro an argument could be made that AI is not materially different from the typewriter in this regard
of course that's vastly more useful to a good writer than some random ass idiot. Imagine if typewriter companies all had said "everyone can be an author now"

I think it's a fundamental ideological issue, which is signified by them using the word "democratization". They said VFX moving to software was democratization. They said open source was. They say tools like Blender are. They say youtube are.
That's not actually what's happening. Actually talented people, a vast minority, are no longer shut out by economic barriers. That's not the same as "everyone can make a good movie now".

idk just some thoughts