Egregoros

Pretty sure even the Pentagon isnt dumb enough to telegraph this so far in advance.

That isn't going to be a whole lot easier to do than seizing Kharg Island, just less overtly suicidal, and they'd have to go for a major port area to be able to offload supplies.

I have no doubt the US could achieve a landing somewhere, even if contested and taking serious causalities. My question is how the US plans to hold any landing once achieved.

Amphibious landing that immediately results in urban combat

Unless you can encircle the city. They did that a lot in Iraq.

The Iraqi army was surrendering en-masse to advancing US forces. Nothing about the situation is comparable.

Iran is a near peer. They haven't faced actual combat yet. Lobbing a bunch of missiles isn't actual war. Maybe they are so focused on rockets that their actual Army is like Pakistans. I know literally nothing about their capabilities. I'm pretty sure we'd fuck up Pakistan or Indian troops. Iran hasnt had a war in 45 years. They have no troops with combat experience.

I'm less convinced that they are some insurmountable force. Who knows.