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Kalogerosstilitis2RvngotJunta

@Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta@poa.st remote

What? Nigga what? No wayyyy. Ooohhhhh AAAAAWWWWWW YES! HAHAHAHAHAHAHA HAHAHAHAHAHAHA @thefinn @TrevorGoodchild @Paleface

RT: https://nicecrew.digital/objects/0083191c-955a-4720-a147-4aee6b55b11c

Trevor Goodchild

@TrevorGoodchild@poa.st remote

@Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @thefinn @Paleface Well well well. If it isn't the consequences of my actions

░▒▓▆▅▃▂▁𝐌𝐌𝐗𝐋▁▂▃▅▆▓▒░

@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@TrevorGoodchild @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @thefinn @Paleface Israel done fucked up. Ground invasion is now impossible.

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

I think the Iranians will allow the Americans to do a ground invasion because it gives them an excuse to use their infantry and they can impose a lot more pain that way.

░▒▓▆▅▃▂▁𝐌𝐌𝐗𝐋▁▂▃▅▆▓▒░

@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn I don't know about that. The war is politically unpopular. I just can't see any scenario where we have boots on the ground. Lebanon maybe to save the Jews.

Bunsen

@Bunsen@poa.st remote

@DC5FAN @cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn The boots on the ground might actually be to evacuate Israelis.

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@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@Bunsen @cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn Don't bring them here.

Bunsen

@Bunsen@poa.st remote

@DC5FAN @cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn Hope not. They might be sending them to South America.

░▒▓▆▅▃▂▁𝐌𝐌𝐗𝐋▁▂▃▅▆▓▒░

@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@Bunsen @cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn Europe is closer.

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

Europe has imported enough Muslims at this point that it's not safe for Israelis.

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@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Bunsen @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn That isn't my problem.

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

Right but I mean they're just not gonna try here.

I think the world is going to conclude that it's better to keep propping up Israel than let the religious fanatical subset of Jews spill out into other countries. It's kind of the same logic as Ukraine. Europe will do anything to keep Ukraine functioning because having Azov spill out across Europe is unthinkable.

░▒▓▆▅▃▂▁𝐌𝐌𝐗𝐋▁▂▃▅▆▓▒░

@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Bunsen @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn They may not have a choice. They've run the US out of the region. We may not be able to assist them anymore. Iran is holding all the cards. We ain't got shit.

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

Russia and China would like to entangle the US into something they can't win and can't afford to lose, so I expect they will find the necessary economic pressure points to make that happen.

But then when the US does lose, I think they will flip and support Israel just enough that it doesn't cease to exist, because nobody (geopolitically significant) really wants it gone.

░▒▓▆▅▃▂▁𝐌𝐌𝐗𝐋▁▂▃▅▆▓▒░

@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Bunsen @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn I don't think anyone really cares whether they are gone. Everyone is tired of their bullshit and this is the last straw.

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

You're thinking like an individual, but what controls geopolitical decision making is thinking like a strategist.

For Europe, China, and Russia, Israel does three things:
1. Provides a counter-balance against the possible rise of a Muslim empire in the middle east which would otherwise control oil and tax global trade through the Suez
2. Creates a pressure point which can be used to control/influence the Jewish diaspora
3. Offers an adventure for Jewish religious zealots which is conveniently located far away from everyone else

░▒▓▆▅▃▂▁𝐌𝐌𝐗𝐋▁▂▃▅▆▓▒░

@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Bunsen @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn I don't think anyone has a say now except Iran.

Replying to @DC5FAN@poa.st

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

Ehh, it's geopolitics, everyone is interconnected. Russia & China have a million ways to help or hurt the Iranian government. Everyone can create pressure or make incentives if they want something.

The reason why this war is dumb is because the US has already given up most of its leverage (40 years of sanctions), AND, Russia and China are all too happy to prop up Iran for as long as it takes in order to sink the US.

Replies

Replying to @cjd@pkteerium.xyz

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@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Bunsen @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn We are getting beat so bad we are lifting the sanctions while at war.

Replying to @DC5FAN@poa.st

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

TIRED OF WINNING 😂

Replying to @DC5FAN@poa.st

casuist

@casuist@poa.st remote

@DC5FAN @cjd @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Bunsen @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn Without asking for anything in return. Just unilaterally lifting sanctions on Russia and Iran.

Replying to @casuist@poa.st

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

Well at least not publicly. I'm sure the actual deal making is going hot and heavy.

Replying to @DC5FAN@poa.st

Oven_Operators_LU_88

@Oven_Operators_LU_88@nicecrew.digital remote

Shit’s unreal bro. By next week Iran could be getting zog to give them aircraft carriers just to make it stop, and open the strait. 😂

Replying to @Oven_Operators_LU_88@nicecrew.digital

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@DC5FAN@poa.st remote

@Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @cjd @Bunsen @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn I think the long game is our complete withdrawal from the region. Israel is screwed. No one can save them now.

Replying to @DC5FAN@poa.st

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote

US is going to tap out - and probably have a civil war to reset it's own internal situation.

That leaves a question: What's the middle east gonna look like?

Relevant actors are Russia, China, and Europe - since the US is gonna be licking its wounds for a while.

Replying to @cjd@pkteerium.xyz

Bunsen

@Bunsen@poa.st remote

@cjd @DC5FAN @Oven_Operators_LU_88 @Paleface @Kalogerosstilitis2RevengeoftheJunta @TrevorGoodchild @thefinn Israel will beg for mercy from the rest of the Middle East and the Muslims will turn against each other.